TDPC predicts Bob Rae will win the Liberal leadership on a 3rd or 4th ballot.
With the recent SES poll showing 33% of Canadians still think 'corrupt' or 'scandal' when asked for a dislike of the Liberal party, the party needs a complete break from the old. Dion is too close to the old Martin regime. Kennedy doesn't have national presence. Ignatieff (pray for him to win!) is actually Ignatiagaffe. The also-rans are... also-rans.
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Macleans had Innovative Research Group poll the standings of the Big 4 contenders (1,495 Canadians between November 23 and 27, margin of error plus minus 2.5%).
Some snapshots:
Ignatieff had "relatively unimpressive showing" in answer to the question "is he the kind of leader who will protect the interests of people like me". Bob Rae and Dion came out on top (25% agree he is), Kennedy (21%) and Ignatieff only 17%. Bob Rae and Ignatieff had the same total of those who strongly disagreed or did not know (41% and 42% respectively).
"One striking finding for Mr Dion is that he is the least liked Liberal candidate among Bloc supporter. This no doubt relates to pas role as a federalist champion and his leadership on the Clarity Act." 66% of Bloc respondents disagreed that Dion would protect the interests of people like them (for Rae it was 54%, Kennedy 48% and Ignatieff 53%).
"The assumed leadership front-runner, Michael Ignatieff, only holds his own with current Liberal supporters and has little appeal with supporters of other parties and those currently undecided".
"Bob Rae also does well with current Liberal voters. He also polls very strongly amongst supporters of his former party, the NDP."
Only 31% of Liberals believe Ignatieff is the kind of leader to protect the interests of people like them (Rae: 51%, a sizeable 20% more than Ignatieff).
Amongst the NDP, only 11% think Ignatieff will protect their interests, while 39% thought Bob Rae would (28% more than Ignatieff).
A whopping 53% of NDP disagreed that Ignatieff was the kind of leader to protect the interests of people like them (Rae only 26%).
The news for Harper is not good either: just over 35% of voters say they are more comfortable with the idea of a Conservative majority now then they used to be (virtually the same number who voted Tory in January), while 49% are NOT more comfortable. That Harper pond just is not growing any bigger ...
I hope you are right with Rae winning. While I don't like what he did as NDP leader in Ontario with the "Rae Days" and all. But he was honest and up front when he told us he was going to take measures to control Ontarios Debt. He did what he said he was going to do{honest} and the provence coulden't handle it and voted for change but we are in a much better financial situation. Is he a hippocrit for not sticking with his NDP roots?
I myself feel not. I find the federal NDP partyto be rather radical on many issues and feel that it is what is keeping them out of the running.
I don't like the way Ignatieff FLIPO FLOPPED on his middle east views. I don't feel he can be trusted.
Either way both cantidates would have to perform flawlessly with Mr. Harper showing me an all time low in order for them to recieve my vote.
The conservatives have been proving themselves worthy and have shown us no reason for change.
Hopefully they continue to move in the right direction.
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